“The Islamic Republic is about to fall.” An Iranian radio station surveys the views of the Iranian street on the future of Iran

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Written by Editorial Board

Language / اللغة العربية

Studies – translation by the DeirEzzor24 team:

The Iranian radio station Zamaneh polled the views of the Iranian street on various social, economic and political issues of public opinion, in its poll No. 43, under the title (Discussions on the future political system of Iran), and the poll concluded with results that we review for you here.

60.5% of respondents believe that “the Islamic Republic is collapsing.” On the other hand, 17.5% believe that “the Islamic Republic will overcome its crises.”
Nearly 70% of those assessing the state of the Islamic Republic as on the verge of collapse cited “popular protests inside Iran” as the main reason.

On the other hand, only 1% of those survey respondents believe that “the opposition’s acquisition of power” will be the main reason for the fall of the Islamic Republic. These discussions will determine the future direction.

The topic of the “Zamaneh” radio poll was the forty-third titled “Discussions on the future political system of Iran”, which was launched between July 5 and July 13 among the polling audience of the radio followers and audience.

607 people participated in this survey, of whom 476 answered all the questions, 70% of the participants were inside Iran and 30% lived outside Iran, 85.5% of the respondents identified their gender as male, 13% said they were female, and 1.5% chose the option ” the other gender”.

The poll, like many other opinion polls, is not a complete reflection of reality and cannot be claimed to represent the opinion of the Iranian people, but it does represent a segment of it.

Fall of the Islamic Republic?

The accumulation of crises, the exacerbation of problems in the country, and the continuation of individual and collective protests have weakened the foundations of the legitimacy and efficiency of the Islamic Republic to the extent that 60.5 percent of respondents believe that “the republic will fall.” On the other hand, 17.5% believe that “the Islamic Republic is stable and dominant and will overcome its crises.”

Assessing the stability of the Islamic Republic?
60.5% believe that the republic is on the verge of collapse, and 17.5% believe that the Islamic Republic is stable and dominant and will overcome its crises, while 22% have no idea about the issue, those who live inside Iran see that the Islamic Republic is on the verge of collapse 15% more than those who live Abroad.

Reasons for the possible fall of the Islamic Republic?

Nearly 70% of those who assess the Islamic Republic as on the verge of collapse (41% of all respondents) consider the reason to be “popular protests inside Iran.” On the other hand, only 1% of those (half of all respondents) believe that “opposition control” will lead to the fall of the Islamic Republic, and 68% believe that popular protests inside the country will be the reason for the possible fall of the Islamic Republic, while 1% believe that the control of the external opposition The ruling system is one of the reasons for the possible fall of the Islamic Republic, and 8.5% believe that the pressure of external forces will be the reason for the possible fall of the Islamic Republic, while 22.5% believe that the differences within the regime will be the reason for the possible fall of the Islamic Republic.

Current discussions about the future form of government?

Most of the respondents considered the current discussions on social media about the future of the political system and the shape of the future government important and believe that these discussions will determine the future direction of the country.

In this regard, 59% believe that the current discussions about the future form of government are important, 32% believe that the current discussions about the future form of government are unimportant, while 9% have no idea, and men consider these discussions more important than women.

The majority, about 62 percent, believes that the scope of these discussions is not limited to outside Iran.

On the other hand, 23% believe that the media outside Iran feeds these discussions, and speculations and analyzes about the shape of the future government are limited to political forces outside the country.
The quality of discussions about the future of the political system and the shape of the future government?

29% believe that these discussions constitute one direction and a view towards the political future, and 63% believe that these discussions are superficial and cause confusion to adopt one direction in the future, while 8% have no idea.
Which public discussions have priority?

Most of the respondents (61.5%) believe that the discussion about the form of government should be accompanied and simultaneous with the discussion of social and political issues (the political system’s approach to human rights, women’s and minorities’ rights, and social rights such as providing free education), 13% consider the discussion about the form of government a priority, Because in the end, “the form that will determine the content and content.” On the other hand, 20.5% believe in the priority of discussing the programs of political and social issues to form the government.

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